Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.029924 0.032285 0.034756 0.037540 0.040591 0.043838 0.047562
2024-12-15 0.026100 0.029478 0.033209 0.037653 0.042818 0.048655 0.055782
2024-12-22 0.023110 0.026995 0.031462 0.037011 0.043756 0.051743 0.061992
2024-12-29 0.021039 0.025249 0.030249 0.036676 0.044785 0.054769 0.068133
2025-01-05 0.019376 0.023786 0.029168 0.036290 0.045567 0.057382 0.073798
2025-01-12 0.017804 0.022279 0.027869 0.035452 0.045606 0.058927 0.078053
2025-01-19 0.016961 0.021614 0.027557 0.035816 0.047175 0.062515 0.085267
2025-01-26 0.016068 0.020810 0.026986 0.035756 0.048112 0.065245 0.091424
2025-02-02 0.015466 0.020342 0.026814 0.036198 0.049733 0.068993 0.099301
2025-02-09 0.014652 0.019532 0.026116 0.035837 0.050151 0.070992 0.104667
2025-02-16 0.013983 0.018879 0.025588 0.035669 0.050811 0.073352 0.110726
2025-02-23 0.013336 0.018218 0.025006 0.035372 0.051235 0.075350 0.116324
2025-03-02 0.012859 0.017780 0.024725 0.035510 0.052340 0.078492 0.124093
2025-03-09 0.012239 0.017103 0.024060 0.035027 0.052439 0.080036 0.129298
2025-03-16 0.011601 0.016370 0.023273 0.034305 0.052103 0.080831 0.133246
2025-03-23 0.011114 0.015837 0.022756 0.033968 0.052354 0.082592 0.139015
2025-03-30 0.010656 0.015326 0.022246 0.033609 0.052533 0.084222 0.144657
2025-04-06 0.010130 0.014687 0.021509 0.032842 0.051978 0.084538 0.147856
2025-04-13 0.009901 0.014494 0.021453 0.033174 0.053296 0.088199 0.157699
2025-04-20 0.009597 0.014170 0.021173 0.033119 0.053934 0.090679 0.165449
2025-04-27 0.009413 0.014025 0.021171 0.033523 0.055393 0.094736 0.176698
2025-05-04 0.009081 0.013633 0.020751 0.033193 0.055517 0.096318 0.183013
2025-05-11 0.008804 0.013318 0.020444 0.033039 0.055947 0.098494 0.190754